The setups I include on this blog are used in conjunction with the 3/10macd and the criteria I ascribe to it as a way to alert me to an existing condition of price. The key concept to take away from this blog is that I try to anticipate what will happen on the higher time frame by using a faster time frame to trigger the trade setup. I do not trade a "system" I use two indicators to clue me in to price conditions. Please read the Disclaimer located in the sidebar of this site. I can be contacted via email at toddstrade@gmail.com
I am always open to questions, comments, or suggestions on how to improve this blog.


Friday, March 29, 2013

Another Quarter closed

Q1 in the books and so I thought I'd post some Quarterly charts to give some long-term perspective, most/many charts are in log format:

Dow Jones Industrial Average (log-chart)

S&P500 (log format)

U.S. Dollar Index

Nasdaq Composite Index (log)

Dow Jones Transportation Index (log)

Dow Jones Utilities Index (log) -

Russell200 Index (log, though not really necessary)

S&P400 Midcap Index (log, though not really necessary)

30yr Tbond

10-year


Banking Index; not sure if this has been around long enough to include on a Quarterly basis, but I wanted to include the banks

Gold...unfortunately I don't have very much historical data on Gold.  (log chart)

Copper

Silver

Soybeans - Interesting range compression compared to that of the early 2000's

Corn - Really cool chart :)

Natural Gas -

Now for some stocks (do let me know if I left/leave something out)

AAPL (log)


IBM  -

MSFT

INTC -

GE

Just for the heck of it I've included the VIX and TICK below, personally I can stare at the TICK chart for a while and likely read too far into it :)

TICK

Thu. 03_28

Thursday's trade

Got out too early and didn't get back in later in the day :/

A look at the SPY with pre-market
As a comparison, here is the ES with pre-market

Wednesday, March 27, 2013

Wed.03_27

today's trade
A key for the above chart to define the horizontal lines and dots.  For further explanation, see this link:  

SPY with pre-market; top subset indicator is the 15min 3/10macd

Really dumb not to go long on the flag breakout :/

Today was like spinning its wheels, SPY closed 3-cents lower than yesterday.  It was also the tenth day that can be compared to a previous consolidation

Tuesday, March 26, 2013

Tue. 03_26

today's trade

A key for the above chart to define the horizontal lines and dots.  For further explanation, see this link:  

Cycle count - looking like a potential breakout into Quarter close.

Choppy in the middle.  Should have known better as the 15m 3/10macd took a while for the fast and slow line to catch up.

SPY with pre-market

Monday, March 25, 2013

Mon 3_25

today's trade
A key for the above chart to define the horizontal lines and dots.  For further explanation, see this link:  

Didn't get in on the short festivities, but here's a look at the SPY which includes pre-market, the subgraph top indicator reflects the 15-min 3/10macd while the bottom one is the 5-min 3/10macd.  Dash line is the open of RTH.

Had a resting order at the .35 mark as it was the 20-daySMA and previous week's Open.  Didn't get filled.

curious to see which way we go from here.  There's obviously some strong overhead resistance and we've had 3 successive higher highs and 3 successive higher lows.  Could be perceived as a bear flag at this point.  Going into the shortened week, end of month, end of quarter I wouldn't be surprised to see anything.

Friday, March 22, 2013

Fri. 03_22

today's trade

More trades than usual....very 'risk management' sort of environment...nice 5-min bar end of day huh?  Which way do you think we'll gap up on Monday? :)

Daily showing a tick up in the 3/10macd with a price pattern that you want to see for a continuation move.  Weekly still in condition 1a!

Thursday, March 21, 2013

cycle count

SPY cycle count

potential target objective being the blue vertical line
I didn't mean to insinuate that the next cycle was down.  Rather, that if we broke down that would be the target.  Should we work towards an upside breakout I will update and include the upside target.

Thu. 03_21

today's trade
A key for the above chart to define the horizontal lines and dots.  For further explanation, see this link:  



Could be in the process of a third push to get long or we pull back steeper to fill the underlying gap