The setups I include on this blog are used in conjunction with the 3/10macd and the criteria I ascribe to it as a way to alert me to an existing condition of price. The key concept to take away from this blog is that I try to anticipate what will happen on the higher time frame by using a faster time frame to trigger the trade setup. I do not trade a "system" I use two indicators to clue me in to price conditions. Please read the Disclaimer located in the sidebar of this site. I can be contacted via email at toddstrade@gmail.com
I am always open to questions, comments, or suggestions on how to improve this blog.


Showing posts with label watch list. Show all posts
Showing posts with label watch list. Show all posts

Wednesday, October 14, 2009

wrap-up

Most issues that I regularly follow made their lows first before being bid up higher, with the exception of AAPL, TLT, and OIH. Also, FCX appears weak.

Tuesday, October 13, 2009

what i watch

These next 3 snapshots (Daily time frame) include stocks which I keep tabs on regularly. They include the 20- & 50 EMA's, and a 2-period Rate of Change. I like to zoom in and look at where price is within the most recent 10-15 day range and see if there are any candlestick patterns that jump out at me (like the dragonfly doji on XLE). The rate of change can hint at whether price/momentum may be waning and can give me an idea of what I might expect going into the next day.

Sunday, October 11, 2009

to watch this week

What I'll be looking for this coming OPEX week.
FCX has been having a strong go at it, but there's some overhead resistance looming at the $77-$80 level, not to mention the gap just below $90.So, things look a bit extended at this point (but what doesn't anymore?). The upper keltner channel lines up with the even $77 level, so watch for selling if price makes it up to that area this week. However, the first hurdle FCX has to overcome is the $75 level. So, we may get some selling on Monday at this level, provided it doesn't just drop from where it is now. I would be looking for a downside move back to at least the 50-EMA (on the 30-min chart) which would coincide with the most recent gap ($73).
POT has been floundering of late. Just look at the weekly:But what you may not be able to pick out on the weekly can be better viewed on the daily:I'm looking to sell any pullbacks in POT.
USO, just look at the weekly and daily:
I'm thinking the bottom line here is, buy the dips!
Also, keep an eye on the Transportation sector, as they seem to be leading market behavior, watch for a lower high.And finally, pay attention to the financial sector if it begins to approach the $15.50 mark.

Wednesday, October 7, 2009

for Thursday

Here's what I'll be watching tomorrow:
RIMM looks to be setting up nicely here.XLE testing an upward base. Be on guard for a momentum divergence. Price has come pretty far pretty fast and left some untested ground beneath it in the form of that gap up.
XLF; that upward trend has been pretty steep (at least it tested Tuesday's gap for buyers, unlike XLE) . Looking for a blow-off momentum thrust upward. Keep an eye out for a momentum divergence to bring prices back to the 20-EMA (on the 30-min chart below).

Sunday, October 4, 2009

setups

A couple of potential momentum setups going into Monday.
AIR broke out of a base and closed near the highs of the most recent congestion area:
With the announcement of the '16 Olympic host we saw a lot of activity in Brazilian names as well as beverage companies (PEP, STZ), here's ABV (also take note of VIV) at an all-time high (on a closing basis). ABT is poking out of a resistance level as a bullish engulfing candle, with gap-fill potential looming above.MCGC could be a little tired here. After breaking out of a cup w. handle pattern it may take a break to consolidate further, but may just forge ahead with a measured move and overhead gap-fill.RINO had a big momentum push lately and seemed to be finished. But volume stepped in Friday to buy the dip back to $18, was someone tipping their hand?