Simply for my personal reference.
RIMM was so nice today as it based on my pivot line all day before ripping into the closeDaily chart with potential resistance near-term:
POT
Relentless to the upside today once it got through it's previous congestion zone
60-min
30-minFCX has moved nearly 10% in 3 days...me thinks it could consolidate in that$73-$74 range:
those immediate pullbacks to the lower/upper median line typically play out great
The setups I include on this blog are used in conjunction with the 3/10macd and the criteria I ascribe to it as a way to alert me to an existing condition of price. The key concept to take away from this blog is that I try to anticipate what will happen on the higher time frame by using a faster time frame to trigger the trade setup. I do not trade a "system" I use two indicators to clue me in to price conditions. Please read the Disclaimer located in the sidebar of this site. I can be contacted via email at toddstrade@gmail.com
I am always open to questions, comments, or suggestions on how to improve this blog.
Thursday, May 27, 2010
Transports
Supply
A lot of overhead supply in this market. It seems we gear up for a "healthy" bounce only to get caught up in thickets of supply. {updated chart}
Though that Euro issue just doesn't seem to be going away...{updated chart}
However, bottoms don't happen in a day. Currently there is a potential inverse Head & Shoulders pattern here...{updated chart}
looking for buying interest between here and 1060. Any lower and I would suspect a move beyond the recent lows.
Looking back at February's sell off you can see how much energy goes into a bottoming process.
On the way down, rallies are held cautiously and selloffs are taken aggressively, continuing a lower low/lower high profile.On the way up, rallies are held cautiously and selloffs taken aggressively, causing a shift to higher highs/higher lows. In the process, consolidation ranges build up (acceptance of price) until a break out/down occurs.
Though that Euro issue just doesn't seem to be going away...{updated chart}
However, bottoms don't happen in a day. Currently there is a potential inverse Head & Shoulders pattern here...{updated chart}
looking for buying interest between here and 1060. Any lower and I would suspect a move beyond the recent lows.
Looking back at February's sell off you can see how much energy goes into a bottoming process.
On the way down, rallies are held cautiously and selloffs are taken aggressively, continuing a lower low/lower high profile.On the way up, rallies are held cautiously and selloffs taken aggressively, causing a shift to higher highs/higher lows. In the process, consolidation ranges build up (acceptance of price) until a break out/down occurs.
Tuesday, May 25, 2010
Monday, May 24, 2010
Crude & Gold
POT ahead
First the weekly. Broke down from a trend line and selling seems to keep overtaking buyers. Sitting right on top of that prior sideways range +/- $96The daily chart showing potential support, perhaps an area one should be alert for a potential shakeout move.
Price is consolidating in a tight range within the "flash crash" tail
60-min chart highlighting that horizontal rangeFinally, we got what looks like support range between $96-96.50
Price is consolidating in a tight range within the "flash crash" tail
60-min chart highlighting that horizontal rangeFinally, we got what looks like support range between $96-96.50
RIMM at pivot
RIMM is testing a long-standing pivot in the $60 range.
weekly chart:
First sensible area of support is underneath at $58.
Daily Chart:
That is, if it's not ready to bounce on tomorrow's opening range
30-min chart: $58-ish looks to have some solid support, unless there's broad market mayhem in bounds.
Here's another little gem I found
weekly chart:
First sensible area of support is underneath at $58.
Daily Chart:
That is, if it's not ready to bounce on tomorrow's opening range
30-min chart: $58-ish looks to have some solid support, unless there's broad market mayhem in bounds.
Here's another little gem I found
Friday, May 21, 2010
Piercing Line
DIA & IWM printed a slight lower low (versus the "flash crash" tail), but still held above our previous February pivot. The SPY gave us a higher low and a nice Piercing line pattern with a strong rally into the close, setting up an inevitable bounce going into next week.
Thursday, May 20, 2010
Divergences
A momentum divergence is a momentum divergence, and SO FAR, these issues at least have that going for them.
RIMM; in it's 3rd push down on lighter momentum. It spent most of the day in a very narrow range and sold off later in the day due to the weight of the overall market (margin calls).FCX; has had the feel like people are anxious to jump aboard this one for "the bounce."
POT; though technically not a momentum divergence (yet), it to has had a similar feel like people are waiting to ride this for a bounce. Of interest is the inverted hammer candle today.
RIMM; in it's 3rd push down on lighter momentum. It spent most of the day in a very narrow range and sold off later in the day due to the weight of the overall market (margin calls).FCX; has had the feel like people are anxious to jump aboard this one for "the bounce."
POT; though technically not a momentum divergence (yet), it to has had a similar feel like people are waiting to ride this for a bounce. Of interest is the inverted hammer candle today.
SPY touchback
Monday, May 17, 2010
Q seed wave
Two seed waves in one issue in one day, pretty cool. I traded the first one, but the second one I didn't get a good read on, and became doubtful it would reach it's targets. The morning was a failure test of the highs:
The afternoon showed a lot steeper retracements (quick profit taking)
The afternoon showed a lot steeper retracements (quick profit taking)
Friday, May 14, 2010
POT Squeeze
POT bounced a little above $100 this morning, igniting a short squeeze back to previous acceptance, which was then rejected (longs covering? shorts entering).
Here's the daily showing a minor support level at today's lows.Today's entry:
Why enter short up there? Previous day's VPOC (while under today's lows was also a VPOC).
Looking at the price distribution, today's resistance level was a previous price congestion level, take a look at all those POC's:
Here's the daily showing a minor support level at today's lows.Today's entry:
Why enter short up there? Previous day's VPOC (while under today's lows was also a VPOC).
Looking at the price distribution, today's resistance level was a previous price congestion level, take a look at all those POC's:
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