The setups I include on this blog are used in conjunction with the 3/10macd and the criteria I ascribe to it as a way to alert me to an existing condition of price. The key concept to take away from this blog is that I try to anticipate what will happen on the higher time frame by using a faster time frame to trigger the trade setup. I do not trade a "system" I use two indicators to clue me in to price conditions. Please read the Disclaimer located in the sidebar of this site. I can be contacted via email at toddstrade@gmail.com
I am always open to questions, comments, or suggestions on how to improve this blog.


Showing posts with label squeeze rally. Show all posts
Showing posts with label squeeze rally. Show all posts

Friday, February 5, 2010

How Nice Was That!?

A stellar late-day rally to close the day (and perhaps this recent downtrend) in a Hammer candlestick (except for the $INDU, which saw a Long-legged, Higher close than open, doji's).
Take a look at the Russell2000 Index, especially what has happened in the past preceding this type of candle pattern.The close of this day had the feel of more than just a short-covering-into-the-weekend type of day. It had more of a jostling to get on board for what may be a decent bounce into Moday feel.
The SPY hasn't seen this much volume in quite some time:There's no certainty that we will get a bounce higher on Monday, but the odds do lean that way.
Here's a look back in 2008, when volatility was high, and selling was non-stop (and nervous short-squeezes were common after fresh lows), I outlined what has followed a day where price opened slightly higher, sold off to make new low in the downtrend, then rallied to close higher on the day. On the Q's:
I used the Q's as an example, because the SPY didn't have as many occurrences (Higher open, lower low, higher close in a down trend), but the herd mentality/psychology is the same. Here are some examples from the SPY in '08.
Should we get a sizable bounce from here, and healthy consolidation, we'll have to start watching retracement levels for the possibility of something like this;Higher Highs, Higher lows! :0 Not saying it's probable, just the possibility.