The setups I include on this blog are used in conjunction with the 3/10macd and the criteria I ascribe to it as a way to alert me to an existing condition of price. The key concept to take away from this blog is that I try to anticipate what will happen on the higher time frame by using a faster time frame to trigger the trade setup. I do not trade a "system" I use two indicators to clue me in to price conditions. Please read the Disclaimer located in the sidebar of this site. I can be contacted via email at toddstrade@gmail.com
I am always open to questions, comments, or suggestions on how to improve this blog.


Showing posts with label Normal Variation Day. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Normal Variation Day. Show all posts

Monday, April 8, 2013

Mon 04_08

today's trade
A key for the above chart to define the horizontal lines and dots.  For further explanation, see this link:  

Breadth - Started out neutral/bearish.  Afternoon breakout coinciding with IB_high break.

ES globex - Dash vertical is the market Open.  Top indicator replicates a 15m 3/10macd while the bottom one is a 5min (Two time frames in one).

Volume Profile - The day started out as 'Non-Trend' day (Small IB_range & D-shaped profile) but turned into 'Normal Variation' day (IB_High broken as OTF became active). <- Might have been a Double-Distribution trend day?

Trades - Early, frustrating chop paid off later on

Quite the move we've had here

Important week in determining follow-through or rejection.  For now, the trend is still very much intact

Friday, April 5, 2013

Fri. 04_05

today's trade
A key for the above chart to define the horizontal lines and dots.  For further explanation, see this link:  

breadth- strongly bearish all day, but also Advance/Decline (which of course closely mirrors the S&P) trending higher all day

Took half my long position in the morning for a loss, had I just kept my ATR stop in place the position would have worked itself out.  The 5-min chart is using a 'gapless' 3/10macd.  I prefer to default to this indicator on large gap days.  The up-arrows, representing long trades, indicate entries, not necessarily "triggers" based on the 3/10macd

  
The following volume profile chart is a bit of a screw-up.  I had intended on using red for HighVolumeNodes and Blue for LowVolumeNodes but, as is obvious, I mixed the two up on some instances.  Irregardless, you can figure them out:

The higher time frame, though showing obvious criteria (price in corrective mode) it's not very easy to swing trade.
When shorts are slow to cover and buyers hibernate, it's called a 'Bear' market. This just isn't a Bear market.  Shorts are quick to cover and temporary buyers feed the fuel to that covering.