The setups I include on this blog are used in conjunction with the 3/10macd and the criteria I ascribe to it as a way to alert me to an existing condition of price. The key concept to take away from this blog is that I try to anticipate what will happen on the higher time frame by using a faster time frame to trigger the trade setup. I do not trade a "system" I use two indicators to clue me in to price conditions. Please read the Disclaimer located in the sidebar of this site. I can be contacted via email at toddstrade@gmail.com
I am always open to questions, comments, or suggestions on how to improve this blog.


Showing posts with label bounce. Show all posts
Showing posts with label bounce. Show all posts

Thursday, June 24, 2010

Will it bounce!?

Shortly we should see a bounce or drown moment for AMZN. Perhaps a bounce higher could bring price back to $140 given a strong market headwind or, at least the midline of $135.
While to the downside, $110 is the low from an Oct. '09 momentum gap up, and $93-ish would be a gap fill and previous Resistance-turned-support level.
The previous two bounces were weak but it should be apparent very soon which way the crowd is leaning.

Wednesday, June 2, 2010

1 bounce 2 bounce

Updated chart at the bottom:

Most recently, the SPY has bounced twice from $105, and it's a very long-standing Support/Resistance level.The more we test $105 and the weaker the bounces get can result in things getting very messy sub-$105.The first bounce saw relative support at each Fib. level between the "flash crash" low and it's bounce pivot, particularly that of the 61.8%-78.6% retracement levels.The recent bounce and tomorrow we'll see what kind of support we get out of the 50% retracement level. We should be able to gauge buying interest soon in terms of whether we'll see a lower low.
Waiting to gauge a reaction off of $107
updated chart after today's session:
got sold off of the Upper Median Line only to come rallying back strong.

Tuesday, February 2, 2010

XOM

Exxon Mobil (XOM) was upgraded today after earnings yesterday that announced a 23% haircut in profits from the previous year (a mere $6-billion dollar profit). So, is it coincidence that they are today upgraded (currently the stock price isn't behaving like it has had good news), or could the timing get any better in order to help institutions lighten up their holdings in this issue now while they still can?
Here's a chart going back to 1968 that speaks volumes in terms of being close to an inflection point:
and zoom in a little closerPerhaps it could bounce from here after hitting lows last week not seen since March '08. However, this stock has been under the thumb of the 200-MA for nearly two years now, and while bounces out of the $64-range have been common, they're not drawing as much buying as they once did. It will be interesting to watch what develops.

Wednesday, January 27, 2010

Fed day bounce

The S&P found anxious buyers at the 1084 level. Now we gauge how far the deep pockets are willing to ride this thing. Should be gap up tomorrow we should be looking for whatever dip there is to be bought. I suspect we would likely get a rally of some sort tomorrow, should Bernanke be confirmed for another term?
The first level of potential resistance is around $110.50 on the SPY. Should we test higher, the range between $113-$114 will be significant.There's a lot of bounce potential out there; take a look into GS and FCX: