The setups I include on this blog are used in conjunction with the 3/10macd and the criteria I ascribe to it as a way to alert me to an existing condition of price. The key concept to take away from this blog is that I try to anticipate what will happen on the higher time frame by using a faster time frame to trigger the trade setup. I do not trade a "system" I use two indicators to clue me in to price conditions. Please read the Disclaimer located in the sidebar of this site. I can be contacted via email at toddstrade@gmail.com
I am always open to questions, comments, or suggestions on how to improve this blog.


Showing posts with label Slinghsot. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Slinghsot. Show all posts

Friday, May 8, 2009

just buy it!

That was some weak. Such strong sell-offs that felt like reversals, only to be revealed as retracements that presented buying opportunity.
Straight out of the gate this morning we had a "gap-and-go" move on strong TICK that stopped just shy of R1. This move was followed by an "oh-boy, is this a reversal?!" gap-fill (not quite filling the gap) down to pivot support. Notice the Resistance-becomes-Support price behavior throughout the day.The TICK stayed strong all day long. Even when we were filling the gap, and things looked like things might be getting reversed, I noticed the advance/decline line was still predominantly bullish, making me think we weren't going to get too bearish early on.
Something I haven't been keen on spotting until it was too late is the "Slingshot" setup. I did however take note of it this morning, and it paid-off pretty well.
The 15-min SPY chart showed a lower high at the open combined with a higher momentum high, leading to a "Slingshot" in price. The gravestone doji was a great time to consider getting short. Meanwhile, later in the day we got two "First Cross" entries (within 2-bars of each other, shown in the sub-plot below the 3/10 macd indicator).Coinciding with this early morning move I was watching TZA/TNA, which turned out having a similar "Slingshot" setup on the open.
Here TZA put in a higher low combined with a lower momentum low, leading to a "Slingshot" in price to the upside. The hammer was nearly a dragonfly doji; a wick that long was hinting that those lows were being bought.
While this move exhausted itself (at the 20- & 50-EMA confluence of resistance with a bearish orientation) I turned to TNA looking for a long entry. I got a long "First Cross" entry on the closing of the first strong green candle (white vertical line, coinciding with the green dot in the sub-plot below the macd).