The setups I include on this blog are used in conjunction with the 3/10macd and the criteria I ascribe to it as a way to alert me to an existing condition of price. The key concept to take away from this blog is that I try to anticipate what will happen on the higher time frame by using a faster time frame to trigger the trade setup. I do not trade a "system" I use two indicators to clue me in to price conditions. Please read the Disclaimer located in the sidebar of this site. I can be contacted via email at toddstrade@gmail.com
I am always open to questions, comments, or suggestions on how to improve this blog.
Showing posts with label opex. Show all posts
Showing posts with label opex. Show all posts
Friday, August 16, 2013
Fri. 08_16
A key for the above (5min) chart to define the horizontal lines and dots. For further explanation, see this link:
If there are arrows on the higher time frame chart (left) they indicate anticipatory trades that are entered using the faster time frame.
ES w/ globex - Closed on the lows
Friday, April 19, 2013
Fri. 04_19
Got chopped up in the middle-morning and took early "signals" later on
A key for the above (5-min) chart to define the horizontal lines and dots. For further explanation, see this link:
First hour
Breadth
Volume profile coming into the day, the opening rotations tested the previous day's High Volume Nodes
ES globex - basically the faster time frame "triggered" around the same time that the higher time frame did which resulted in a wider stop tolerance needed and longer patience for the consolidation ro resolve
Higher time frame - still potential for the faster time frame (65min) to pull back (fast line pull back to the slow line), but equally likely for a trend line break and a move back to the $157 area
A key for the above (5-min) chart to define the horizontal lines and dots. For further explanation, see this link:
First hour
Breadth
Volume profile coming into the day, the opening rotations tested the previous day's High Volume Nodes
ES globex - basically the faster time frame "triggered" around the same time that the higher time frame did which resulted in a wider stop tolerance needed and longer patience for the consolidation ro resolve
Higher time frame - still potential for the faster time frame (65min) to pull back (fast line pull back to the slow line), but equally likely for a trend line break and a move back to the $157 area
Tuesday, December 14, 2010
LOL Fed Day
The SPY closed above the previous day's close.
Which has been the case for the past 6-days.
It's almost as if the market needs to close this way for a specific reason.
The end of day hammer candle, was it mostly short-covering or buying??
Which has been the case for the past 6-days.
It's almost as if the market needs to close this way for a specific reason.
The end of day hammer candle, was it mostly short-covering or buying??
Thursday, July 15, 2010
gotta love Opex
With Options Expiration being tomorrow one should be aware of where price may gravitate towards, so as to cause the "max pain" for option buyers.
Case in point, POT:
nothing subtle about it
Case in point, POT:

nothing subtle about it

Friday, June 19, 2009
OPEX Friday
An interesting day on OPEX friday. The dollar sold off pretty hard, as did oil/commodities (I don't really get that), the markets were slightly negative, but the financials of all things did perform well (bizarro market).
Perhaps we'll have some resolution, in terms of direction, come Monday. Especially if we find ourselves in a nuclear war.
I continue to stalk Treasuries, via TLT/TBT, and today was an excellent day for TLT.
The open on TLT was a slight gap down, followed by a narrow range consolidation that didn't seem to have a directional bias. The impulse move that followed brought us right into a previous day's resistance range, set up a nice tight flag, a volume breakout (yellow dot above the candles), followed by a breakout.
Later in the day provided another entry, as price retraced only to come back and base around the highs.
RIMM was an earning's play. They announced Thursday after-hours, beat estimates, but foreward forecasts were weak. After-hours yesterday saw a strong sell-off that was eventually bought up. This morning however, price gapped down, filled it's gap, whipped back down to the lows and consolidated into a narrowing triangle pattern. The break of the apex came complete with volume surge (yellow dots above candle).
The SPY hasn't resolved very much and today had a difficult time staying above the $92.50 level. Perhaps come Monday we're either in a nuclear stand-off with N.Korea and we tank, or it's avoided and we rally (haha).
Perhaps we'll have some resolution, in terms of direction, come Monday. Especially if we find ourselves in a nuclear war.
I continue to stalk Treasuries, via TLT/TBT, and today was an excellent day for TLT.
The open on TLT was a slight gap down, followed by a narrow range consolidation that didn't seem to have a directional bias. The impulse move that followed brought us right into a previous day's resistance range, set up a nice tight flag, a volume breakout (yellow dot above the candles), followed by a breakout.
Later in the day provided another entry, as price retraced only to come back and base around the highs.



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