First we start with the opening range gap up that was above 50% of the previous day's range.
Price rallied for 20min of the open, forming an ascending wedge. The correction off of this pattern was quick, but found volume support at the Fibonacci 78.6% retracement level (measured from the low of the day to the high of the ascending wedge).
Chop ensued, but the 61.8% retracement level held with volume (this 61.8% retracement is measured from the opening low to high) and coincided with the 38.2% retracement measured off of the previous day's range.
So, we had:
- a gap up followed by 3 higher highs and 2 higher lows before a correction
- the retracement barely tested the 78.6% level and strongly held on to the 61.8% with volume
- the pattern that price created for the first 90-min was a bullish wolfe wave/triangle breakout
- the opening highs acted as support later in the day (RbS)
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-First suspect would be highs of the morning and if we could break out of those highs next would be the previous day's high (in the $59.50 level).
-Next, we could draw some 3-point Fibonacci extension lines drawn off of impulse moves.
The first extension can be drawn from the LOD to Opening range high and measured off of the beginning of the move up.
Once we had another impulse move and correction we could draw another extension line so we can look for possible confluence levels/targets. Here's what we got:
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-Watch how price gaps compared to the previous day's range
- Watch the 61.8% & 78.6% levels (if it's a deep correction) to hold on volume for a higher low and possible test of the highs or previous day pivot levels
- Fibonacci extensions drawn off of impulse moves can give clues to possible consolidation levels.
1 comment:
I love fibs and waves! Very well explained, Todd. Always learning something new from you. :-)
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