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Monday, November 22, 2010

Back to the 20MA

SPY bounced at the Lower Median Line again (actually fell within 18-cents) which also coincided with the midpoint of a previous 2x-bar.


intraday look at the SPY which formed a hammer candle 7-cents away from the 2x-bar median line


Fib levels as measured from the most recent high to the corrective low.  Price is basing under that 50% level

The 3/10 Macd has the potential to form a First Cross sell signal here, otherwise we get another momentum push up and possibly turn into a Sell divergence should price make new highs (much the way it signaled a first cross sell in Aug. only to form a buy divergence 5-days later).  We could still push up to the 61.8% - 78.6% retracement on nil momentum and get our First Cross entry on the following tick down in the momentum histogram.
 

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